Determination

What the result hid

Determination ran the 3rd fastest last 400 metres at Mackay and finished 4th.

Mackay Race 2 Friday 23 October 2026

It ran the 3rd fastest last 400 metres of the 7 runners, yet finished 4th.
Its legs were turning faster at the end than in the middle of the race.

See the full Race Behind the Result card

Last run: 23 Oct 2026 at Mackay, race 2.

Horse Truth reads Determination as better than its numbers say. It beats its rivals more than the clock. Its form is holding steady.

Built from the form, timing and running records Horse Truth has for this horse. Free summary below. See the Truth Board for horses better or worse than their figures, how the model works, and the public record of dated selections, official results and the misses.

Horse Truth type: Grade specialist
What that means: Wins its grade but the raw figures stay modest. It beats rivals rather than the clock.
Form trend: Holding
Best distance so far: 1050m
Evidence behind this read: Low (5 runs analysed)
Attention flag: Steady

Updated 04 Nov 2026 22:36 Brisbane time.

Recent runs

Last run: 23 Oct 2026 at Mackay, race 2.

Horse Check on this horse, A$19

Date	Track	Race	Source
23 Oct 2026	Mackay	2	Timing and running recordsOfficial results
20 Aug 2026	Mackay	2	Timing and running recordsForm guide
8 Aug 2026	Eagle Farm	8	Timing and running recordsForm guide
23 Jun 2026	Mackay	3	Timing and running recordsForm guide
11 Jun 2026	Mackay	5	Timing and running recordsForm guide
23 May 2026	Mackay	7	Timing and running recordsForm guide

The newest runs Horse Truth holds for this horse, from its timing and running records, official results and form-guide past starts. Each run shows where it came from.

Last raced at Mackay in Horse Truth's records. See the other horses that last raced there, or horses with a new read this fortnight.

Tracks it ran at in Horse Truth's records: Eagle Farm, Mackay, Rockhampton. Each track page shows what happens at each part of the track.

What changed

2026-10-31: New run analysed, now 5 runs. Best distance so far now 1050m.
2026-10-30: Form trend changed from Declining to Holding. Horse Truth type changed from Class horse to Grade specialist. Best distance so far now 1100m.
2026-10-30: Form trend changed from Building to Declining. Best distance so far now 1300m.
2026-10-24: New run analysed, now 14 runs.

Dates are when Horse Truth's read of this horse changed. Rating changes are in the full file.

What Horse Truth saw

Running profile. Running profile: even pace. No strong early or late pattern over its last 6 runs. Derived by Horse Truth, 23 Oct 2026. What the day showed

Derived from timing and running records and official results. Form guides do not show these.

How it moved

What Determination did in its races, compared with its own earlier runs and with the other runners. It describes runs that have happened. It is not a prediction.

Lifted its stride rate late 3rd best of the 7 runners. In the run home its cadence was noticeably quicker than in the middle of the race, from the race tracking data. Race of 23 Oct 2026. What the day showed
Stride type: quick stepper. Its stride rate was among the quickest third of its field, with a stride that was not among the longest, in 4 of its last 6 runs. Race of 23 Oct 2026. What the day showed

From race tracking data. Derived by Horse Truth. Latest race 23 Oct 2026.

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